Wednesday, August 17, 2005

"Not the locus of a new revolution" 

Regarding the Sheehan protest, I pretty much agree with Mr. Peters' post on the matter, and also recommend the links he provides. You should go read that first, if you haven't done so.

One of his links is to a post at the conservative blog A Small Victory. Here's one quote that caught my eye:

...the left [has] glommed onto Sheehan's grief as if it were some magic potion that would miraculously make all their dreams of getting Bush out of the White House come true. She's their panacea, the be-all and end-all of publicity stunts, an icon ready made for media and the furthering of agendas. Sheehan is the savior of the anti-war cause. The only problem with being a savior is the likelihood that you'll end up dying on the cross they nailed you to.

Now, beyond the overheated rhetoric, I think there's a point of substance there. It's shocking how well those on the Left can quickly organize around a Sheehan, or a Downing Street Memo, and yet... for what? It seems as if there's no sense of grand strategy or endgame in these political maneuvers. I suggest taking a page from the other side's playbook and develop an easily understood argument that can be encapsulated in a phrase or two and repeated ad infinitum. For example, your average Joe doesn't know or care about "Downing Street". And if it takes fifteen minutes to explain a British memo about Bush's determination to fix intel on Iraq around a predetermined policy to invade, well, Buckwheat, you've already lost the political game. The left should stick to short points which resonate with moderates and put the other side on the defensive. (Luckily, I suspect the Plamegate scandal is shaping up in a way that will be invulnerable to even the most hapless framing by the Dems.)

Why do you think, whenever LA's coastal erosion issue arises, I keep harping on the $100 million Bush requested for restoring Iraqi wetlands? That's the frame, because it provides a winning political context for any further argument. And when the game is fixed in your favor, you need to play it at any possible opportunity.

Here's a simpler example: Say a dim moderate voter is watching you argue with a wingnut. Wingnut says: "freedom isn't free". Your response shouldn't begin, "Well first I think we should harken back to Rousseau's famous quote... blah blah blah... Downing Street explanation blah blah." The dim moderate has tuned out long ago, and will only retain the wingnut's simplistic statement.

Take two: same situation. Wingnut says: "freedom isn't free." Your response: "freedom isn't dumb, either". Dim moderate chuckles, and starts thinking about Bushco's stupidity rather than simple feel-good truisms.

Somerby understands this point about winning frames-- perhaps better than anyone. Here are some of his recent thoughts, which I'll quote at length:

What did that phrase from the memo really mean? It's hard to tell, and we don't have a tape of what "C" really told Tony Blair. But if you know how to read a book [Woodward's
Plan of Attack], it's easy to see that the Bush Admin was "fixing the intelligence" soon after that memo. And by the way, it wasn't just the nukes that were being "fixed." On September 26, 2002, Bush restated his "new unequivocal charge" about WMD-- the one he'd adopted, for the first time, two weeks after the Downing Street memo. And when the great war leader spoke, he pimped another phony tale, too. Treat yourself to a mordant chuckle as Woodward gives Tenet's reaction:

WOODWARD (page 189): Repeating the new unequivocal charge about Iraq's WMD programs he had adopted three weeks earlier, Bush said, "The Iraqi regime possesses biological and chemical weapons. The Iraqi regime is building the facilities necessary to make more." Ratcheting up another notch, he added, "And according to the British government, the Iraqi regime could launch a biological or chemical attack in as little as 45 minutes after the order were given."

Tenet and the CIA had warned the British not to make that allegation, which was based on a questionable source, and almost certainly referred to battlefield weapons-- not ones that Iraq could launch at neighboring countries, let alone American cities. Tenet referred privately to this as the "they-can-attack-in-45-minutes-shit."

So according to Woodward, Bush was soon out there talking "shit" about this other scary matter! By the way, where was Bush's National Security Adviser while all this lunacy was occurring? Oh yeah! She was also out there talking "shit" too, about those scary aluminum tubes. None of this is any big mystery. You just have to read Woodward's book.

These are some of the simple facts about the Bush Admin's "fixing of intel." Liberals who want the truth to be known should be reciting these points almost constantly; instead, they've spent their time in the past six weeks staring at the Downing Street memo, trying to mind-read its pithy constructions. But then, liberals and Democrats have constantly failed to make a good case about this theme-- about the way the Bush Admin went out there and faked the intelligence. At this time, your liberal and Democratic elites are almost impossibly inept when it comes to framing messages. And this unfortunate trait has been on display when it comes to the faking of intel.

Did the Bush Admin fake the intel in the wake of the Downing Street memo?
Of course they did; they began to scare us silly about Saddam's nukes, grossly misstating the intel to do it. But this is not what liberals say when they discuss this theme on TV, where voters might actually learn from their work.
...
We can't explain why our current lib/Dem elites are so intellectually lazy. It has now been several years, but they keep repeating this hopeless meme-- and going down in flames when they do. The conversation is hopeless but constant. Here is the way it works:

LIBERAL/DEMOCRAT: Bush lied when he said there were WMD!

MODERATOR: But Clinton/Gore/Kerry/Dean all said the same thing.

LIBERAL/DEMOCRAT: Yes, but what I really hate is when Bush or Powell said [move on to different complaint]...
---
Exactly. Forget DSM and the "famous" 16 words (unless you can find the author of the forged memo upon which it was based); instead, why doesn't everyone know about Bush's claim (made on a pres. radio address, I believe) that Hussein could launch a WMD attack in 45 minutes! I sure as hell know that Clinton/Gore/Kerry/Dean never tried to sell us on that hysteria, which CIA Director (and Medal of Freedom awardee) Tenet described as "shit". Nor did they try to sell us on the model airplanes misting anthrax, nor the mushroom clouds, nor the aluminum tubes.... Why didn't Bush have to apologize and retract this false, shitty "45-minute"claim?

The publicity surrounding Ms. Sheehan's grief and protest goes for naught if liberals can't make an anti-war case that resonates with the rest of America. Merely saying "Bush lied" does not a case make.

---
Another note: Bush's incendiary "Bring'em on" comment (among others) is eternal political gold, and quite literally cannot be over-emphasized.

This (+1) could prove handy, as well.
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8 Comments:

I agree with your well-versed argument to an extent, but I think something really vital is playing out in Crawford.

One one hand, the favorites of a strong military have played their hand and made us less safe. Sons and daughters are being slain for a cause that can't be justified, we're indisputably weaker than we were before the invasion, there's no end in sight to the killing of Americans, abroad OR at home.

On the other hand, a relative handful of people silently keeping vigil and praying are broadcasting a powerful message to an entire nation about the hypocrisy. The people are reclaiming their right to protest. The people are reclaiming their ownership of when and how our leaders chose to use Americans as fodder for their personal agendas.

Before this is over, the rallying cry will be, NEVER AGAIN!

And yes, once the Republicans start fearing they'll lose their seats, maybe we can get some impeachment hearings in motion.

By Blogger Schroeder, at 8:41 AM  

Good stuff, O. If no dem has the brains to use 'Bring em on' in the next couple cycles, I'm resigning from the damned Party.

By Blogger jonnybutter, at 11:13 AM  

Great post, but re: Cindy Sheehan, Digby links to Reading A1 in the post below the one you link to--that Michael makes some extremely good points. Sheehan, he notes, IS the easy-to-understand symbol: a mom who's kid was killed in Iraq--for what? Freedom? Nope, not even Team Bush can say that with a straight face. WMD? Bush made jokes about that. GWOT/GSAVE/or, as WIIIAI put it, The War on Terror or TWAT? Nope.
The very fact that Ms. Sheehan is so, well, ordinary, makes her even more powerful, i.e., one thing she DOESN'T look like is a anarchist/yippie bomb thrower. She looks like a mom.

Which is why the pro-war crowd has gone out of their way to fling mud--Drudge's selective quotes, news of Ms. Sheehan's impending divorce, the ridiculous attempt to attribute an anti-Israeli letter to her, etc. etc.--and yeah, some grandstanding on the left (note yesterday that Sheehan politely nudged the focus at Crawford back to the central issue).

But I really think she's touched a nerve--and put the Bushistas in a VERY bad position...which is good--sort of like your own suggestion "freedom isn't dumb." She's saying "freedom isn't the deadly game of lottery in Iraq" (and that's really what it is over there--lottery with tragic results for some). One thing it isn't is the opening salvos of some fantasy global conflict (if it WAS, I'd like to think there'd be a lot more by way of mobilization than deployment for the National Guard, partying for Jenna, not-Jenna, and the rest).

Anyway...sorry to be a little abrupt here on the ending, but I've got a work situation going that I have to focus on...

By Blogger Michael, at 11:15 AM  

The problem isn't only framing but passivity. It seems that the Dems simply wait for Bushco to do something else and then they bitch about it. If you're waiting for your opponent's next move, you've already lost, and if all you do is react to what your opponent does, then you're really not even fighting.

But this has pretty much been the Dem position since Bush v. Gore, as though they're still walking around punch-drunk from that defeat. And they wonder why they're losing.

The GOP just goes out and does what they want to do, pretty much no matter what. The Dems just bitch about what the GOPers do and about how it's wrong, etc. To top off the Dems' position, they never seem to offer an alternative other than doing nothing, or focusing on "education" and "health care", which, after 3000 people get killed by terrorists, is really not going to swing anyone your way.

The sad fact is that the left (and the center) are getting their asses handed to them and still can't figure out why. You're absoultely right that their playbook is easy to read and certainly fair game, but I think the left's feelings of superiority (both moral and intellectual) to the right is a huge obstacle. They won't play their game because they think they're smarter than that. The problem is, they haven't found another game to play and, let's face it, the GOP plan works, even for smart people.

By Blogger Murph, at 11:52 AM  

Well said, Oyster. I'm glad that you linked to your blog, I've added it to my favorites.

And yes, for about half a minute, Liz & I considered doing a road-trip-o'mercy (Gumbo Patrol!) to Crawford, but having seen instances where Cindy asks that her protest NOT be turned into an international cluster-fuck, we demurred. When we DO get a road show together, though, I fully expect to see the NOLA contingent join up!

Every day, in every way, Cindy Sheehan amazes me, through her grace, her patience, and her will. I swear, next time I can afford a trip to the tattoo parlor, she's getting added to the pantheon.

By Blogger Anntichrist S. Coulter, at 7:42 PM  

I thought about going myself. I'm not sure I could justify it to my wife, but in the end, I agree with antichrist s coulter that it could have become a media frenzy (and that wouldn't serve the cause well - I think). Better the way things played out with the nationwide vigils in solidarity.

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