Update: Welcome
Dead Pelicans!
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"'We are not going ... to let hurricane crime replace Hurricane Katrina,' City Council President Oliver Thomas said in televised remarks as mothers of victims of the Saturday shooting stood nearby." (via
Reuters).
So, our most widely respected councilperson says we're now battling "Hurricane Crime", after a bloody weekend in which 5 teenagers were shot to death in Central City around 4am Saturday. How did a "Hurricane of Crime" happen, you ask? That's a good question. Since the storm, Police Chief Warren Riley and Mayor Nagin have been saying things are fine in the city. They pointed to misleadingly low crime statistics, and described recent killings as a "little uptick" in the murder rate. And voters endorsed Nagin (and therefore Riley) in the mayoral election last month.
But now, suddenly, a half-populated city needs an extra 300 soldiers and 60 state troopers to maintain order.Think about that.
After a non-stop string of post-K N.O.P.D. embarrassments (including corruption, cowardice and brutality), it seems that a historic opportunity to "start over" and get control of crime has been squandered. After being re-elected on a crime platform of "stay the course, everything is fine", Mayor Nagin effectively admitted to the entire nation that he doesn't have control over violence in his city.
That's a bad advertisement for a tourism-dependent economy.
Say what you want about former Mayor Marc Morial, but he found a Police Chief who was able to significantly cut crime in the 90's-- from insane levels down to merely outrageous ones. During businessman Nagin's term, however, crime trends increased until the city was emptied following Hurricane Katrina. Now crime is increasing again, heading back to previous levels. In fact, the biggest cluster of recent homicides occurred within 1 mile of the 6th District's Police headquarters. Now that Central City area is being called the "Triangle of Death".
New Orleans used to have an old "Triangle of Death" and now we have a new one. Just like Iraq.
Peachy.
I want to point out that on election day last month, wealthy uptowners in a low crime neighborhood overwhelmingly decided to raise taxes on themselves by about $500/yr per household to pay for additional security patrol services. And yet some of the conservatives who live in this district, after voting themselves a tax increase, then
voted against the mayoral candidate (Landrieu) who was actually alarmed about rising crime and who wanted to overhaul the NOPD. I'll never be able to understand the rationale of these Nagin Republicans-- not ever.
Let's face it, Mayor Nagin and Police Chief Riley are not effective against crime (and by crime I mean drug-related murders). Nagin will be with us for 4 more years, and he is committed to keeping Chief Riley at least through the end of this "long, hot summer". I don't dislike either man, but they are simply not up to the task. Either they purposefully downplayed and misled voters about rising crime during the election, or this call for 300 national guardsmen is an embarrassing overreaction to one incident, and is a waste of precious human resources.
It's highly irritating to me that Mitch Landrieu didn't press his "Safe City" message more forcefully during the end of his campaign. I know I sound bitter, but I'm still hung up on this. The conservative white voters who proved to be the difference in the election wanted someone who "understands business". Yet, these "law and order" types somehow forgot that nothing kills business like rising crime.
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Below, I've compiled an unofficial
"Political Crimeline" with quotes about the issue from Nagin and Riley. Pay attention to the highlighted portions, and keep in mind that 300 guardsmen and 60 state troopers have been brought in so that our police department can come to grips with New Orleans' latest "death triangle".
Feb 2004: Deputy Chief of Operations Warren Riley declares "We feel as though the momentum has shifted... We are taking control of the streets."
August 29, 2005: Hurricane Katrina hits Gulf South.
October 2005: T-P reports:
[Warren] Riley, a Southern University graduate who spent much of his career in the Fifth and Sixth districts before rising through the ranks to a post at headquarters, has never made a secret of his ambitiousness and drive. He made an unsuccessful run last year for criminal sheriff, with Mayor Ray Nagin's backing.
His career record is not spotless. He has been suspended from the force during investigation of traffic accidents, and in a case that became a major issue last year during the sheriff's race, he acknowledged a lapse in judgment during his time as an investigator with Internal Affairs.
...
Despite those past problems, Riley is considered a strong candidate to become chief on a permanent basis.... The importance of the job requires a national search for Compass' successor, said [Metropolitan Crime Commission director Rafael] Goyeneche who favors hiring a talented and disciplined executive over a swashbuckling crimefighter.
December 2005: (T-P):[Police Chief Warren Riley said,] "Although we're smaller by 200-some officers, we're stronger."
...
"The fact that we're not overwhelmed gives us the ability to track all criminals who reoccupy the city. We'll go to bed with them and wake up with them."
February 2006: (T-P): Arrests were down almost 60 percent from 2005... no major incidents related to Mardi Gras were reported, New Orleans Police Chief Warren Riley said.
March 2006: T-P reports:
Riley said that with killings in the city down 80 percent and overall violent crime down 90 percent, law enforcement has a unique opportunity to keep criminals out of the city and to pounce on them when they return.
April 2006: Times Picayune reports:
Residents in some neighborhoods that enjoyed relative peace just after Katrina have already started to grumble over increasing crime. Citing the statistics about lower crime, Riley said some politicians are fueling such talk by just telling people what they think they want to hear.
"Anytime someone is murdered, it's alarming," he said. "But I don't think it's a here-we-go-again situation. I don't think we've reached that stage."
May 6, 2006: Times Picayune reports:
Although crime in New Orleans has risen as the population grows, the city is still much safer than it was before Hurricane Katrina, police Superintendent Warren Riley announced Friday as he revealed the city's first-quarter crime statistics.
...
Anticipating the argument that the decrease was insignificant because population is dramatically down in the city, Riley produced figures that he said show that even adjusting for the lower population, violent crime is still down about 26 percent...
...
"April was the first time where our crime numbers went up significantly," Riley said, calling it "our worst month" since Katrina.
Violence broke out in Central City, with several shootings two weeks ago... But the police chief said he is optimistic because in both cases, police flooded the areas and the problems seemed to have abated.
...
In Central City, Riley said, Tactical Unit officers used abandoned houses as a base of operation to root out criminals. Although a teen wanted in a multiple shooting there has not been captured, Riley said the violence has abated since the teen's warrant has been publicized.
"What I can assure you is that, when a crime trend surfaces we'll address it quickly and very firmly," he said.
Riley said he thinks the roughly 1,480 officers on the force are sufficient for now. But "we do need to get back up to 1,600 probably in the next year and a half to two years," he said.
...
Riley has asked the State Police for "50 or 60 troopers" to help patrol some of the abandoned areas of the city, where now one patrol car with two officers must cover a "square mile or two square-mile area."
May 9, 2006 N.O. Blogger
John Vinturella writes a letter to the T-P:
Riley suggests that even after adjusting for the lower population, violent crime is down about 26 percent from the first quarter of 2005.
Is 26 percent enough? From 2002 to the day Katrina hit the city in 2005, New Orleans' murder rate was nearly eight times the national average. For perspective, New Orleans averaged about 59 people killed per year per 100,000 citizens -- compared to New York City 's seven.
Are we "under-policed?" Before Katrina the city had about 1,450 police for a population of about 460,000 or about 3.2 officers per 1,000 residents. This compares to a national average of 2.3, and an average for larger cities of about 2.8. Currently there are about 1,200 police for a population of about 180,000 or about 6.7 officers per 1,000 residents.
May 17, 2006: Times Picayune reports:
[Mayor Ray] Nagin believes that the city is on the right track in combating its historically high crime rate. [Mayoral Candidate Mitch] Landrieu expressed frustration that violence has been creeping back as the city repopulates.
...
Recently released first-quarter crime statistics show that, indeed, violent crime is again on the upswing after an unprecedented lull following the city's mass evacuation and virtual military occupation on the heels of Katrina.
When asked about the return of murder and violence at Monday's debate, Nagin downplayed the numbers and expressed confidence in several initiatives put in place by the police department in the past few months.
"As the population has come up there starts to be a little uptick in the murder rate, but if you convert that on a per capita basis ... and you compare that to pre-Katrina, murder is down almost 50 percent," Nagin said. There are some hotspots and we are starting to see some activity in certain sections of the city. As we do that, we're deploying our resources in a very unique way."
...
At the debate, Nagin indicated his plan to attack the problem by maintaining his current game plan.
That plan starts with keeping Police Superintendent Warren Riley...
May 20, 2006: Mayor Ray Nagin re-elected to a second term.
June 17, 2006: Five teenagers are shot to death in Central City. It's the worst homicide incident in New Orleans in over ten years.
June 20, 2006: AP reports that:
Gov. Kathleen Blanco ordered National Guardsmen to help police patrol the city for the first time since Hurricane Katrina, following a bloody weekend that brought fears of crime disrupting the city's delicate reconstruction.
At Mayor Ray Nagin's request, Blanco ordered 100 troops-- and committed to send 200 more soon-- and 60 state police troopers to head to the city Tuesday to support the Police Department. Six people were killed over the weekend, including five teenagers in one incident.
"The situation is urgent," Blanco said. "Things like this should never happen, and I am going to do all I can to stop it."
June 21: T-P reports:
National Guard soldiers and State Police troopers rolled back into New Orleans Tuesday, less than a year after chaos unleashed by Hurricane Katrina first called them to calm an unruly city.
Mayor Ray Nagin and Police Superintendent Warren Riley said the move had been in the works since March, but the arrival of armed soldiers three days after the city was rocked by the murder of five teenagers cast an unwelcome spotlight on resurgent crime that some officials fear threatens the fragile reconstruction from the storm and its catastrophic flooding.
...
"It's going to be a long, hot summer," Riley warned.
June 21, 2006: Times-Picayune Editorial:
The fervent hope post-Katrina was that New Orleans would become a less violent city, but it has not.
The signs have been obvious for months that violence was ticking steadily upward. The mass slaying of five teenagers on a Central City street corner before dawn Saturday was horrifying confirmation of just how bad things have gotten.
...
Even with a shrunken population, murder is becoming commonplace.
...
The Police Department seems ill-equipped today to deal with the combination of drug-related violence and pervasive looting of homes that are empty or under renovation.
29 Comments:
And yet, y'all reelected Nagin. Unbelievable.
Yes. We couldn't have done it without the Nagin Republicans.
cool. thanks oyster.
Good job, Erster.
Thanks... Good info.
Looks like my original comment disappeared for some reason.
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If Landrieu was the anti-crime candidate, then it was a well kept secret. Both Landrieu and Nagin avoid talking about crime at all cost.
Honestly, I'm just sick of the post-election complaints. Landrieu lost fair and square. He bet that people disliked Nagin so much that all he had to do was smile to win. Bad bet. It was a lackluster campaign with Landrieu promising to do the same thing as Nagin but do it better. You can't beat an incumbent this way.
I think what really rubs me the wrong way with this constant befuddlement about conservative white voters is that the whole line of thought is close to the bigots' argument around the nation.
For many people, Nagin's election is just a sign that majority black towns can't really be trusted to govern themselves. Some say it directly, and some just imply it. Before I lived in New Orleans, I used to be in D.C. The same thinly veiled racist statement were made there.
I'm not saying that you're a racist at all. Understand me. You're mystified by why white Republicans would vote for Nagin. That's clearly a different question, but it gives ammo to the folks that believe that New Orleanians are just too dumb to be trusted with the vote.
Why is it so hard to understand how Nagin won their support? It's pretty simple. Landrieu ran a weak campaign and by the end offered no real alternative policy-wise to Nagin. He just asked people to trust him. If you were a conservative, why would you trust him? Why would you believe that he was so much more competent? He's part of Democratic machine. Relative to the great advantages he has in life, he hasn't accomplished great things. And to top it off, Nagin had Couhig's support. Rightly so, many conservatives loved Couhig. Hell, I was even glad to have him around. In a sea of top candidates afraid to offend anyone or any neighborhood, Couhig was about the only person willing to say that tough choices will have to be made.
All this election navel gazing can be reconsidered for the next election. For now, we're stuck with Nagin. All we can do is watch him and hold his feet to the fire.
Democracy sucks, huh?
I don't think I'd use Marc Morial or Richard Pennington as a model for crime enforcement.
Your "it's all the Republican's/Conservatives fault" rant is getting a little stale.
Frolic....eryster never mentioned race in this post, you painted that picture in your own mind. Re-read this post and pretend everyone mentioned is of the same race...this is an issue of competence, not race.
The rhetoric in this post is race neutral...the way you interpreted it wasn't.
Maybe my comment wasn't clear.
I know that Oyster never directly mentioned race. I'll grant that maybe the "wealthy uptowners" he referred to are a rainbow of ethnicities. I know that he was mystified by the votes of conservative Republicans.
I'm saying that it ain't no mystery and it's real easy to figure out why the conservatives went with Nagin over Landrieu.
His argument that the reasons of some New Orleans voters can never be explained just seems too close to bigoted arguments made all around the country. If you don't think the subtext of too many national reactions was "black folks can't be trusted to vote the right way," then why in the world did so many people compare Nagin to Marion Barry? What did they have in common.
I'm tired of people believing that New Orleanians are fools. I think Oyster's mystification about the motives of white conservatives just plays into this image of us.
Plenty of people ask me about the election. This is what I say:
"I voted for Landrieu twice and I'm certainly disappointed that Nagin won. I like Nagin personally, but I don't think he is up to the job. Landrieu, however, ran a weak campaign and never presented policies that clearly differentiated him from Nagin. Nagin also reached out to black voters, who hadn't supported him in the past, and conservatives who didn't want to increase the power of the most important Democratic family in the state.
"I take heart, however, in the fact that many career politicians were kicked off the city council. Now, we have to move forward with the politicians that we have."
I find this a more palatable explanation than "some people weren't thinking." I also think we need to move forward with what we've got.
Frolic: Thanks for coming by, and commenting.
I am indeed mystified by Uptown conservatives who voted for a $500 increase in taxes to combat crime (in a low crime neighborhood) while supporting Nagin. If Madam Governor raised their taxes $50, they'd never consider supporting her. As the quote above indicates, Mitch thought crime was a significant problem and wanted to hire a new Police Chief. Nagin disagreed on both counts.
And as I stated, I'm quite irritated that Landrieu didn't press harder on the "Safe City" issue as it relates to crime.
However, I must say that your analysis of why many conservatives opted for Nagin over Landrieu falls right into the bizarre campaign "script" that I find so fascinating: that this mayoral election was a referendum on Mitch-- and not on Nagin.
After Katrina and "Chocolate City", most conservatives (perhaps most everyone) viewed Nagin as an incompetent embarrassment. Yet, Mitch Landrieu was somehow scarier to them because... no one would ever give a precise reason. Here's the best list I could come up with. None of them wash.
And as for this post slamming unthinking Nagin conservatives and thereby somehow emboldening the N.O.-haters and racists... well, I think that is profoundly overstretching it. These types were too busy celebrating the national headlines about our mayor losing control of his own city to bother mining for material on this little ole blog.
And, please, before you start dropping phrases like "I'm not saying you're a racist", wouldn't it be fair to note that there are 100 positive YRHT posts about New Orleans for every one that can be somehow contorted into red meat for these folks you refer to?
Roux: Pennington looks pretty good right about now.
Also, you had AMPLE opportunity to state your case against Mitch in previous posts, and, frankly, your efforts weren't very substantive or persuasive.
Thanks to New Orleans patriot Jaybirdo for his response.
Rather than send 60 State Troopers, why not 300 for two weeks, turn them loose and let them do God's work.
Oyster,
You're right that your ratio of supporting New Orleans is 100 to 1. I think the glee across the internet in our misery has just thrown me for a loop. I was probably reacting more to other people than to you. Everywhere I click people are so damn happy that New Orleans is suffering. I'm trying to gather the energy to defend us, but damn I need some good news soon.
I still think that the reason your mystified about the conservatives support is that your giving Landrieu too much credit. I would say he didn't press "Safe City" at all. In the debates I saw, he really showed no interest in talking seriously about crime. I didn't see all the debates, but I doubt many voters did. In fact, this is the first time I can remember hearing the term "Safe City."
How did it become a referendum on Mitch? I think he made it into one. By the end, my sense was that Mitch was saying that on many issues he would have the same policies as Nagin. He just promised to be more competent. By keeping his head low, Mitch made it about him instead of his policies.
There are many reasons Nagin won or Mitch lost.
Nagin played the race card and pulled in the refugee vote(I call them refugees because they'll never come back unless you give them the freebees that they enjoyed in the past and NOLA can't afford that again).
The devil you know is better than the devil you don't know.
Mitch ran a crappy campaign. Just because he's got the gift of gab doesn't make him a leader.
IMHO-Landrieu had to appeal to the black vote by using his sister and father as examples of those who care about the black community. He also needed to appeal to the white community as someone who had an epiphany and wasn't going to go back to the politics of old, someone who was for reform and change. That's a tough line to walk and although I thought he would win, he couldn't pull it off.
As for Pennington. Playing tricks with statistics and dumping bodies outside NOLA only lowers the crime rate on paper.
Points well-taken Frolic and Roux.
"As for Pennington. Playing tricks with statistics and dumping bodies outside NOLA only lowers the crime rate on paper."
Ouch!!
I'm sure that the subject of bringing in outside help came up in either the debate you mentioned or another one. There must be some record of Nagin saying that we didn't need outside help (when he was supposedly asking for it), unfortunately I have no idea where to find it. Anyway, now we have Nagin and Riley both saying that the request has been in the works since March, but only Riley said that on TV when it was announced Mon--he basically said that crime have never been as bad as the media makes it out to be, but the city realized that it was more than it could handle three months ago. However, Nagin said that the request for help had come two weeks before. It's easy to play gotcha on a single inconsistency, but Nagin never gets called on any of his inconsistencies. That, Frolic, is part of the reason that Nagin won. When the harshest criticisms of somebody's statements are that they were impolitic (no matter how much they failed to match the facts), it makes him look more honest. I know the campaign's over; in fact, that's all the more reason for the press to start examing Nagin's statements--they can't be accused of trying to influence the election.
The real statement that needs to be questioned,IMO, is that the NOPD is down 300 officers. That's only about 20% of the force. Don't mean to say only but patrols seem to down by way more than that. It could well be lack of patrol cars, but it seems like we're missing something. At least I'm missing something.
In Hurricane ravaged Louisiana, drowning in water and political corruption, money flows to build 14 new Reservoirs. Gov. Kathleen Blanco supports waste of Billions with 150 natural and 30 man-made existing lakes.
Politicians using Eminent Domain and tax money are profiting.
In 2001, Rep. Francis C. Thompson created House-Bill
1136 allowing sale of land taken by Eminent Domain to Third-Party. Thompson’s Cypress
Cove at Poverty Point-LLC and his next-door
neighbor are now selling Lakefront-lots.
Rep. Thompson is creating Reservoirs in Richland, Ouachita, Allen, Caldwell, Morehouse, and promoted them in
Washington
and other Parishes with $41,975,000
approved for 12 in 2004, and $55.2 million in 2005.
Poverty Point Reservoir, created 1992 by Rep. Thompson with brother Michael Thompson as consultant, built by Denmon Engineering has cost taxpayers $40 Million Dollars with $3.5 million approved for 2005.
Taxpayers paid $1.2 million for Poverty Point
Island Lots development with $2.2 million keyed gate entry private road sold for $621,200 dollars to Thompson's neighbor.
Mike Thompson in real
estate, former Delhi Mayor now Consultant receives $100,000 a year per lake for Allen, Washington, Morehouse, Caldwell, LaSalle, and has proposed Reservoirs in Ouachita, Jackson and Lincoln parishes. Nepotism, Cronyism, conflicts of interest, and ethics
violations seem to exist.
Gov. Blanco's transition team member, Mike Thompson’s
Commerce Industry Board position is questionable, and former business partner Terry Denmon, Vice Chairman of Wildlife-Fisheries lake-site selections may destroy Scenic streams, Wildlife, and Endangered species. Denmon, and Rep. Thompson both serve on Aquaculture
Advisory Council. Brant Thompson, Rep. Thompson’s son is on Reservoir
Commission.
Sen. Ben Nevers co-partner corporations with Commission,
and Rep. Ritchie may profit
from desecration of 5 cemeteries to build Washington Parish Reservoir. Should homes of old-poor and Churches be
taken, Cemeteries destroyed, and Taxpayers spend $40-50 million a lake to make developers wealthy?
Model Lake, Poverty Point lacking natural flowing streams uses two 36-inch pumps drawing water from Bayou Macon, a ditch from Lake Chicot Arkansas, and 4 large-bore 16-inch Mississippi Alluvial Aquifer
water wells as water source.
Great Real Estate deals brought to you by Louisiana’s Economic Development Policy, and use of Taxpayer's money.
Politics as usual in the state of Louisiana.
Beautifully put, Stjohndavid. Great great commens and observations. And you put them much more succinctly than I could ever manage.
If there weren't 20 debates to find and look over, I guess we could find the incriminating comments.
I couldn't agree with you more with the purported NOPD numbers and what we see on the ground.
We paid the highest price . . .
DAMN them for politicizing an effing CRISIS just to get VOTES (both candidates) while the constituents suffer indecision for vote pandering.
I don't particularly like Landrieu, but I voted for him. Got a bumpersticker even . . . but I suppose 4 years of Nagin may outweigh 8 years of Landrieu . . . who knows.
I voted for Nagin last time, and quite vehemently and rather angrily supported him right after the storm. Imagine my disgust to discover the REAL Nagin after all of that . . .
My husband is 4th generation NOPD, and admits that no one knows how many officers are left ~ except that 3-400 vacated their posts after Katrina, and another 130 or so are on indefinite "sick-leave" . . .
Oh and - these teens, so violently gunned down? Rap sheets - all of them. Street justice? Not so kind.
Raise a ruckus in the direction of the judges, and jurors, and a system so broken that only a hurricane may fix it . . .
wow...this whole chain of comments deserves it's own arena...there's some amazing insight, rhetoric, and possible real facts here.
Roux, you are dead on about Pennington. I was very good friends with a NOPD homicide detective during Pennington's tenure. He told me point blank that the murder rate really hadn't changed, they were just "re-classifying" what constituted a homicide....he also told me that officers were specifically persuaded to avoid narcotic arrests in order to lower those figures as well.
I don't think Pennington was the knight in shining armor he was made out to be.
So after stating that this post was not about race....I'm jumping in...
On Mitch's campaign....I disagree with you guys on the perspective that it was poorly run. I don't think that's true...I think they we're just too conservative (how ironic). I think they're primary strategy was not to attack Nagin under any circumstances as it would potentially polarize the African-American vote against him. The first thing Mitch said when he started his campaign was "...I like Ray Nagin, and you should to. He's a good man." That speaks volumes about the strategy they adopted out of the gate. I honestly think they were right on there, they had to be careful about this. The problem was they didn't recognize when to throw the gloves off...they tried but it was too late in the game.
Had I been running the campaign (armchair politcal advisor that I am), I would have coerced some strategic African-American allies like Ann Duplesis or Karen Carter to go after Nagin with teeth bared and the taste of blood on their lips. Nagin fucked up so much shit and was so absolutely incompetent during and after Katrina...he is not a leader and Mitch's campaign missed the opportunity to expose the man's utter incompetence.
But having said that, hindsight is 20/20.
Which brings me back to Vitter. We need to go after the fuckstick now...I think he's vulnerable. Let's take the fucker out.
Oyster, I really enjoyed reading this post and all the comments!
Thanks! :)
Thanks to everyone who contributed.
Mitch ran a gentlemanly, bland and undivisive campaign, and lost due to the superior tactics of Nagin's strategist J. Carvin (among other things).
As for Vitter, jaybirdo, he comes up for reelection in 2010.
Jaybirdo-I'd heard they'd classify murder victims as "john doe". Not sure how it worked but unidentified bodies don't show up in crime stats the same way. Heard this from a BR LEO.
I think you've hit it on the head with the Landrieu campaign. I couldn't figure out why he wouldn't go more aggressively after Nagin.
Last, I'm not crazy about Vitter but in 2010 all this BS will be fogotten.
2010....that only gives us 4 years man. We better get busy archiving all this BS so we can drop the bomb in 4 years.
Nagin is a bloody idiot, how on earth did he get re-elected?
Thanks for that timeline of quotes. I wish only that it referred to a city other than the one we live in.
WE got the whole world in our hands
WE got you and me- and if the bad dudes are being taken out- and migratory since Katrina- WE need to band together- and stop em in their tracks- noisemakers, a sure giveaaway-
Also Chee wee heads- too
THEY ARE A PRoblem. thugerry won't do.
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