Friday, September 26, 2008

Beyond the Palindrone 

Observations about Vice Presidential candidate Sarah Palin:

1. She needed notes to look this incomprehensible?

2. Palin characterizes the diplomatic position of Henry Kissinger, James Baker and Colin Powell as "beyond naive". Kissinger, Baker and Powell are many things-- many, many things-- but they're not "naive".

3. Recent quotes:

"[Gov. Sarah Palin] knows more about energy than probably anyone in the United States of America." --John McCain, ABC interview, Sept. 11, 2008.

"My job has been to oversee nearly 20 percent of the U.S. domestic supply of oil and gas." --Gov. Sarah Palin, Campaign event in Golden, Colorado, Sept. 15, 2008

Wrong. False.

Didn't McCain learn anything during his visits to America's Energy coast? Tejas and Louisiana account for about a quarter of domestic energy production. They are the real producers of American energy. Alaska accounts for 3.5%. When it comes to energy, Kentucky outproduces Alaska. And it appears Alaska's relatively small energy output will continue to shrink in the short term:

Oil production has fallen sharply in Alaska during [Palin's] governorship. The state's share of total U.S. oil production fell from 18 percent in 2005 to 13 percent this year, according to the EIA.

4. Then, when Palin tackles a question I've been wondering about for some time, the results are bewildering:

“Oil and coal? Of course, it’s a fungible commodity and they don’t flag, you know, the molecules, where it’s going and where it’s not. But in the sense of the Congress today, they know that there are very, very hungry domestic markets that need that oil first... So, I believe that what Congress is going to do, also, is not to allow the export bans to such a degree that it’s Americans that get stuck to holding the bag without the energy source that is produced here, pumped here. It’s got to flow into our domestic markets first.

Who knows what the hell that means, but it sounds like she wants Congress to impose trade restrictions on domestic energy. (*Mordant chortle*) I'd LOVE to hear her delineate in granular detail the protectionist measures she thinks might be necessary.

Item!

Alaska producers can continue shipping gas to Asia after DOE last week approved an extension of the export license for the Kenai liquefied natural gas plant owned by ConocoPhillips and Marathon. The companies will be allowed to export up to 98.1 Bcf to Japan and other Pacific Rim countries over a two-year period through March 31, 2011. […] The application came under fire from local end-users, including gas distribution companies Enstar and the Chugach Electric Association, as well as fertilizer maker Agrium, all of which claimed the exports would exacerbate the problem of declining gas reserves in south-central Alaska. Agrium permanently closed its plant near Kenai due to an inability to find enough local supply for the facility that used 53 Bcf/year. In January, ConocoPhillips and Marathon reached a deal in which they agreed to step up development in the Cook Inlet region in return for the state’s support of the export license extension. The producers also agreed to divert gas from the LNG plant as needed to meet the peak winter supply needs of the local utilities. […] Alaska Governor Sarah Palin welcomed the DOE approval. “In these times of economic uncertainty, this is great news for the state and its residents. This extension will secure a future for the LNG operation and is another step toward ensuring energy supplies and energy security for Alaska,” the Republican governor said. [Source: Platts Inside FERC, 6/9/08]

I'd wager that the band Information Society has a more coherent view of energy than Sarah Palin. And I'd wager that Maitri, Clay and Nick have forgotten more about energy than she'll ever know.

5. Palin's contention that Alaska's proximity to Russia gives her foreign policy experience is laughable. She says Russian planes might fly over Alaska, and therefore... what exactly? Are they going to drop a metric ton of statecraft on her, because otherwise I don't see how one thing follows from the other.

Put it another way: Nazi submarines attacked the Louisiana coast during World War II. Did that qualify Gov. Earl Long* to be President?

While Governor, she hasn't taken advantage of her state's proximity to Russia to build ties to her Russian neighbor. I daresay Sen. David Vitter has closer ties to high level Russians than does Palin.

Honestly, though, her fallacious "proximity to Russia" argument doesn't worry me as much as her apparent belief that "we live near the end times, so who the hell cares".



---
* I realize Long wasn't Governor during [America's direct involvement] in WWII, but just play along.

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14 Comments:

Technically, Uncle Earl was Governor during WWII just pre-US involvement. The term he served to replace Dick Leche was from 1939 to 1940.

By Anonymous adrratsos, at 10:57 AM  

OMG, I misspelled my blog name. I'm going to hell or is that Wasilla? I confuse the two...

More coffee for me.

By Anonymous adrastos, at 10:58 AM  

Shooting fish in a barrel...

By Blogger celcus, at 11:06 AM  

Ah, yes. Thanks, A.

By Blogger oyster, at 11:07 AM  

Thanks for the compliment.

By Blogger Clay, at 12:25 PM  

One thing, though: Alaska has abundant natural gas reserves, just no way to bring them to market. I've heard reputable reports their gas reserves rival Russia, Norway and Iran. They reinject all the gas to boost oil production because they have nothing else to do with it.

Gas pipelines are a bit harder to build, especially over permafrost. Right now with natural gas prices slumping, it's doubtful they'll build a pipeline. If they did, they'd completely flood the market and natural gas prices (and New Orleans' electric bills) would plunge.

By Blogger Clay, at 12:29 PM  

Hmm, I wonder if they considered the plunge of gas prices because of the increase in supply before determining the cost of the pipeline.

On the protectionism idea, I have argued that in order to insure that any increased oil drilled domestically would reduce our reliance on foreign oil, that we would have to put some sort of restraint on trading that oil... otherwise it could just get sold other places and we would still be just as reliant on that nasty evil foreign oil (assuming we would still be using petroleum products in 2030, when the new oil would actually make any real impact into the market).

Of course, I have feeling if you asked Sarah Palin what she felt about protectionism she would ask you "In what respect Oyster?".

By Anonymous Daniel Z, at 3:00 PM  

Those fungible, unpatriotic (and probably communist)molecules...grrr...they should wear flag pins like every other decent American.

By Blogger Michael, at 3:25 PM  

Was it over when the Japanese bombed Louisiana????

*The JAPANESE?*

*Forget it, he's rolling.*

By Blogger Leigh C., at 3:35 PM  

If anyone wants to read a great book about the WWII German U-boat campaign against the US check out 'Operation Drumbeat'. It's one of the best narrative non-fiction histories I've ever read. It's a total page turner told from the perpective of a German U-Boat captain based on his log books.

By OpenID joejoejoe, at 5:43 PM  

The pipeline would still be profitable, factoring in depressing the market. The oil company bean counters have their head firmly implanted up their ass. Everyone's known its been profitable for 30 years. It's just expensive and they've been trying to get someone else to pay for it. Cheap bastards.

Torpedoes in the Gulf by Melanie Wiggins is also good on the U-Boat front.

By Blogger Clay, at 7:46 PM  

If anyone wants to see a great exhibit about a U-boat...the Museum of Science and Industry in Chicago has U-505 in drydock. It's really, really small (no claustrophobes need apply.)

And there's always the movie Das Boot...

By Blogger Michael, at 11:57 PM  

Yes but you can't see our enemies, Russia or Spain from kentucky. It is however, only one state away from Georgia, the site of the recent russian invasion.

By Anonymous willis, at 8:02 AM  

"Palindrone"
love it.
Genius...on many levels!

By Blogger jason, at 6:36 PM