Friday, August 28, 2009

Tidmore tickles the state's collective political gonad 

Chris Tidmore's tantalizing new story for The Louisiana Weekly will read:

In a breaking story, The Louisiana Weekly has learned that the hero of Hurricane recovery, General Russell Honore is seriously considering entering the Republican Primary for the U.S. Senate seat against incumbent David Vitter. Honore, a Republican since the Reagan Administration and a registered Louisiana voter from his Zachary home, has spoken to friends and supporters in the last two weeks signaling that he is, according to one, "more than 50% sure that he will run."
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While polls show Vitter as the clear favorite in both the primary and the general election, one very senior Louisiana Republican predicted that if Honore runs, "He wins." As that GOP party elder further explained to the Weekly on the promise of confidentiality, "All he has to say is 'Stuck on Stupid', and Vitter is toast."

At Rising Tide 4, E at WCBF asked the political panelists about the Honore scenario. It seemed to catch them off guard. Apparently they hadn't deeply analyzed General Honore's chances, because they didn't expect him to actually enter the race. If General Honore announced, he would immediately displace Chairman Cao as my favorite Louisiana Republican. (Rep. Anh Cao has lost stock with the staff at YRHT, as he continually uses the "I haven't had a chance to study [blank] to form an opinion" dodge. He gets away with this because the media and his supporters keep reminding us how very very smart and nice Cao is.
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Update: Eli does some more political handicapping on the N.O. mayor's race here.
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Update #2: More at Bayou Buzz.

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6 Comments:

Looks like Ripley finally arrived to shove the Xenomorph out the airlock.

By Blogger Clay, at 10:04 PM  

If Honoré wins the GOP nomination, we won't be rid of Vitty Cent that easily. He'll pull a Lieberman and run as an independent.

By Anonymous matter, at 1:07 AM  

Matter: I don't think Louisiana law works like that. In Louisiana everyone has to declare that they are running at the same time. The primaries are just one step in the process.

Independents will have to declare their candidacy for the seat in the Senate at the same time Vitter does. The only thing is that Vitter has to try and win a primary (if he has other Republicans running against him) while independents will go straight to the general election.

By Anonymous Daniel Z, at 12:14 PM  

Who cares if he win the primary does he win the general election?

By Anonymous Anonymous, at 11:41 PM  

Daniel Z is absolutely correct about the laws in Louisiana governing candidate qualifying. Everyone has to qualify at the same time and declare themselves Democrat, Republican or "independent," which precludes a Lieberman scenario.

Note on Eli's assessment of the mayoral candidates: the photo of Roy Glapion Jr. is wrong. The photo used is of the late city councilman, who died some years ago. His son, also named Roy Glapion, is a civil engineer who some say could be a late entry into the mayor's race.

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